Leaders pessimistic ahead of Davos meet
AFP · 20 Jan 2015, 21:42
Published: 20 Jan 2015 21:42 GMT+01:00
- Davos meet to focus on terrorism and conflicts (19 Jan 15)
- Hollande and Merkel to join Davos forum leaders (14 Jan 15)
- Record turnout expected for annual Davos meet (06 Jan 15)
In a Davos tradition, consulting group PwC surveyed 1,300 business leaders in the run-up to the high altitude gabfest, and their responses fell in line with the International Monetary Fund, which on Tuesday slashed its world growth forecast for this year and next.
The poor outlook comes despite a sharp drop in oil prices and will weigh heavily as the world elite gather over the next four days in the Alpine village in the canton of Graubünden in eastern Switzerland.
French President François Hollande and German Chancellor Angela Merkel will be among the 2,500 prominent figures attending the meeting, along with Nobel laureates, top bankers and CEOs.
Asked how they saw the big economic picture at the start of the year, only 37 percent of the PwC respondents said they expected the economy to improve in the next 12 months, down from 44 percent a year ago.
Even worse, 17 percent of business leaders said the economy would turn for the worse in 2015, more than double the seven percent last year.
For the first time in five years, the United States came ahead of China as the country respondents felt would best boost the world economy over the next 12 months.
As ever, over-regulation by governments was cited as the biggest barrier to growth, but cyber-security, the uncontrolled advance of technology and the lack of qualified talent also rose as worries.
The IMF sharply cut its 2015-2016 world growth forecast of only six months ago, despite hopes that lower oil prices would offset pervasive weaknesses around the globe.
The fund said poorer prospects in China, Russia, the euro area and Japan will hold world GDP growth to just 3.5 percent this year and 3.7 percent in 2016.